A STUDY ON THE VARIATIONS OF CIRCULATION PATTERN IN THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE AND CLIMATE CHANGE IN CHINA FOR THE RECENT 100 YEARS          下载免费PDF全文

Zhang Jiji  Gao Xuejie 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1993,7(2):194-198

The time series of annual frequency of the circulation patterns W,C,E in the Northern Hemisphere and annual mean temperature of Beijing (T_B),Shanghai (T_S) and the whole country (T_C) in the period 1891-1990 are expanded as a long-term tendency,a periodic function and a random function.The coherence between circulation and temperature is calculated and analyzed.The abrupt change of circulation and temperature in the last 100 years is revealed with the methods of the accumulated anomalous curves,the signal/noise ratio as well as the Mann-Kendall test.The correlations between anomalous circulation and climate are discussed with some explanations.  相似文献   

山西地震带历史地震序列的统计分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

彭美煊 《地震》1993,(5):40-46

在工程地震工作中需要知道某地震带或某地区未来100年内的地震活动水平,以便适当选择历史地震的统计时段,从而得到和地震活动水平相适应的不同潜在震源区的各级地震的年平均发生率。 本文利用极值理论、最大熵原理、马尔可夫模型的方法、莫尔纳方法和伯努里模型方法计算了山西地震带未来100年内中强震的年平均发生率、平均重现期大于等于某级地震的个数和发震概率,计算结果表明,山西地震带未来百年内将发生≥6.0级地震3次,发震概率为0.94左右;将发生≥6.5级地震1—2次,发震概率为0.84左右;有可能发生≥7.0级地震,发震概率为0.53左右;发生≥7.5级地震的可能性不大,发震概率为0.32左右;发生≥8.0级地震的可能性很小,发震概率为0.15左右。  相似文献   

Seismic recognition of local inhomogeneities     

J. Batllo  F. Goltsman  D. Kalinin  J. Pous 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1990,132(4):639-652

A simple method to contour local inhomogeneities using seismic data is proposed. It formalizes an approximate inversion method which is based on the interpretation of local inhomogeneities as making the differences between an actual seismic data set and a previous reference model. It uses the optimal statistical criteria of parameter estimation and recognition and the ray representation of the waves spreading. Any combination of direct, reflected and/or other types of waves may be used as the database. Inhomogeneities, having a size two times above the wavelength of the seismic waves, can be resolved. Laboratory experiments, using ultrasonic waves and analysis of data from field experiments, confirmed the theoretical results. The method can be used to search for ore bodies, kimberlite cubes, oiltraps, etc.  相似文献   

SEDIMENT TRANSPORT OF LOW CONCENTRATION IN PIPES     

R.H. MAT SUKI  R.BAKER ①Lecturer  Dept. of Civ.  Struct. Engrg.  Univ.Kebangsaan M''''sia  Bangi  Malaysia ②Lecturer  Dept. of Civ. Engrg.  University of Salford. MWT England. 《国际泥沙研究》1991,(2)

The study of Sediment transport of low concentration in pipes bas been applied in the design of a self-cleansing storm sewer. An alternative criterion is suggested as op- posed to the widely used single flow velocity approach. A conceptual model which simu- lates the condition in a storm sewer is developed and tested against experimental data. The results proved that the volumetric sediment concentration, pipe diameter and sedi- ment size have to be taken into consideration to produce a self-cleansing storm sewer. It also shows that the slope obtained by this alternative criterion is lower than the single flow velocity approach.  相似文献   

青藏高原地区最高,最低气温Mos预报的检验     

王希娟 《高原气象》1991,10(1):99-104

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地电阻率短临异常研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

彭远黔  王志贤 《华北地震科学》1994,12(1):71-76

应用相干加强的方法对地电阻率（以下科称ρｓ）资料进行的数学处理，表明了ρｓ短临异常突出明显的结果。为此本文对所出现的异常特征及短临异常的判别与地震预报了研究。  相似文献   

高精度锥体棱镜的“自差法”检测技术   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

殷达安  林银森 《测绘学报》1994,23(3):216-221

本文提出一种采用“自差法”检测高精度锥体棱镜的新方法，阐述检测原理与装置，建立检测角度和面形误差的定量判据，并给出一个实例说明其应用。实践表明，“自差法”检测技术对于产品质量的控制，具有快速准确和简便实用等特点。  相似文献   

川滇交界地区构造应力场及强震趋势的统计预测     

李桂芳  程万正 《四川地震》1994,(4):1-7

本文对川滇地区中、强震震源机制解和中小地震平均节面解分析，指出川滇地区现今构造应力场在北西－北西西向压应力作用下，以水平剪切错动为主。同时，采用极值理论、最大信息熵、线性预测和灰色理论等方法综合分析，预测川滇地区未来强震的趋势。  相似文献   

Some aspects on the variations in depositional flux of excess Thorium-230 in the Central Indian basin during Late Quaternary     

N. P. Sukumaran 《Journal of Earth System Science》1994,103(4):489-497

Examined in this paper is the tentative history of the depositional flux of²³⁰Th_xs (the unsupported fraction of²³⁰Th scavenged from the overlying water column), for the Late Quaternary period from a sediment core of the Central Indian Basin (CIB). The measured depositional flux of²³⁰Th_xs is found substantially higher than that of the possible theoretical flux from the overlying water column. Historical records, reconstructed from the²³⁰Th_xs chronology suggests that the depositional flux has varied considerably with time, reflecting an enhanced scavenging during the Holocene and the preceding interglacial periods whereas, comparatively lower flux than the predicted one occurred during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) period. The average ratio of the measured depositional flux to that of the predicted flux from the overlying water column, indicates that the core site acts as a sink for²³⁰Th_xs and based on the existence of bottom current activity; the²³⁰Th_xs could be the result of focusing of younger sediments. The depositional index (Di) has also been calculated to quantify the extent of lateral supply throughout the core with time. The estimated (Di) suggests that bottom focusing and feeble deposition and/or winnowing processes had occurred and that the former was most prevalent during the Holocene and the preceding interglacials, whereas the latter was observed at the LGM period.  相似文献   

水压致裂煤层裂缝发育特点的研究   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5       下载免费PDF全文

李同林 《地球科学》1994,19(4):537-545

本文对煤岩基本力学性质、煤层水压致裂缝形成条件、裂缝形态以及裂缝开裂角方位等基本理论进行了研究与探讨，通过大量煤岩力学性质测试，证实了试验区目的层煤岩弹性模量低，泊松比较高，脆性大，易破碎，易压缩。文章还得出了目的层煤岩Ｍｏｈｒ断裂准则二次抛物线型包络线，煤层水压致裂裂缝形式判断，裂缝开裂角方位的计算公式以及有关结论。  相似文献